Value bet: Ardoi to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBidezarra to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Bidezarra vs Ardoi preview and prediction
The match
Bidezarra host Ardoi in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Bidezarra and 1.2 for Ardoi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bidezarra 45%, draw 21%, Ardoi 34%.
Value angle: Ardoi to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Bidezarra 1–1 Ardoi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bidezarra45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Ardoi34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
2.54Expected goals
1.38Bidezarra xG
1.15Ardoi xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 1.4 – 1.2 Ardoi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bidezarra to win✗
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bidezarra / FT Bidezarra✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.14
–
Form
Bidezarra
No recent results on record.
Ardoi – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Ardoi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ardoi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 1–1 Ardoi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
Bidezarra vs Ardoi (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
