Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Unión Molinense to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMazarrón FC to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.42
Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense preview and prediction
The match
Unión Molinense travel to Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 13 on Sunday 29 March (17:00 WAT) to face Mazarrón FC. Mazarrón FC are 18th with 4 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Unión Molinense sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mazarrón FC's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Santomera 5–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Unión Molinense's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat El Palmar 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Unión Molinense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Mazarrón FC and 1.1 for Unión Molinense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mazarrón FC 39%, draw 24%, Unión Molinense 37%.
Value angle: Unión Molinense to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Mazarrón FC 1–1 Unión Molinense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mazarrón FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Unión Molinense37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.28Expected goals
1.16Mazarrón FC xG
1.12Unión Molinense xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mazarrón FC 1.2 – 1.1 Unión Molinense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mazarrón FC to win✓
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mazarrón FC / FT Mazarrón FC✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.42
–
Form
Mazarrón FC – last 5
WDDDL
15 Mar
vs Santomera
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cieza
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Bala Azul
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Olímpico Totana
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Unión Molinense – last 5
WDWWD
22 Mar
vs El Palmar
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Balsicas Atlético
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Santa Cruz
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santomera
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazarrón FC and Unión Molinense.
What is the prediction for Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
On our numbers Mazarrón FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unión Molinense 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Our predicted score is Mazarrón FC 1–1 Unión Molinense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
