Value bet: Cádiz II to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPozoblanco to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II preview and prediction
The match
Pozoblanco host Cádiz II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 10 on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Pozoblanco. Pozoblanco are 9th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Cádiz II sit 13th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pozoblanco's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Ciudad de Lucena 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cádiz II's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with San Roque Lepe 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Cádiz II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Pozoblanco and 1.2 for Cádiz II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pozoblanco 39%, draw 25%, Cádiz II 35%.
Value angle: Cádiz II to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Pozoblanco 1–1 Cádiz II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pozoblanco39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Cádiz II35%fair 2.84 · @3.35
2.52Expected goals
1.30Pozoblanco xG
1.21Cádiz II xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pozoblanco 1.3 – 1.2 Cádiz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pozoblanco to win✗
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pozoblanco / FT Pozoblanco✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Pozoblanco – last 6
LDWLDW
22 Mar
@ Ciudad de Lucena
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Bollullos
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs San Roque Lepe
4–2
W
8 Mar
@ Sevilla III
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Linense
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cádiz II – last 4
DWWW
22 Mar
vs San Roque Lepe
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Castilleja
7–2
W
8 Mar
vs Coria CF
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Córdoba II
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pozoblanco and Cádiz II.
What is the prediction for Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II?
On our numbers Pozoblanco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cádiz II 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II?
Our predicted score is Pozoblanco 1–1 Cádiz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II?
Pozoblanco vs Cádiz II (Tercera División RFEF Group 10) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Pozoblanco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
