La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
La Virgen del Camino to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Virgen del Camino to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceLa Virgen del Camino or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09
La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 8 sees La Virgen del Camino take on Bembibre on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Campo Los Dominicos. La Virgen del Camino are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Bembibre sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
La Virgen del Camino's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Villaralbo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bembibre's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Mojados 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
La Virgen del Camino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for La Virgen del Camino and 0.6 for Bembibre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Virgen del Camino 61%, draw 21%, Bembibre 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was La Virgen del Camino to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: La Virgen del Camino 1–0 Bembibre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Virgen del Camino61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @2.85
Bembibre18%fair 5.48 · @4.40
1.96Expected goals
1.39La Virgen del Camino xG
0.57Bembibre xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Virgen del Camino 1.4 – 0.6 Bembibre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Virgen del Camino to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
La Virgen del Camino or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Virgen del Camino / FT La Virgen del Camino✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.09
–
Form
La Virgen del Camino – last 3
WDL
1 Apr
vs Villaralbo
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Unionistas II
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bembibre – last 3
DLD
4 Mar
@ Mojados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Colegios Diocesanos
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Unionistas II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Virgen del Camino and Bembibre.
What is the prediction for La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
Our pick is La Virgen del Camino to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
On our numbers La Virgen del Camino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bembibre 18%.
How many goals will there be in La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
Our predicted score is La Virgen del Camino 1–0 Bembibre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre (Tercera División RFEF Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Los Dominicos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
