Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBadalona to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceBadalona or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Badalona vs Vilassar Mar preview and prediction
The match
Badalona host Vilassar Mar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona. Badalona are 3rd with 17 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Vilassar Mar sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vilassar Mar's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Montañesa 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Badalona and 0.6 for Vilassar Mar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badalona 65%, draw 21%, Vilassar Mar 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Badalona to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Badalona 1–0 Vilassar Mar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badalona65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.75
Vilassar Mar13%fair 7.52 · @6.50
2.33Expected goals
1.72Badalona xG
0.61Vilassar Mar xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Badalona 1.7 – 0.6 Vilassar Mar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badalona to win✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Badalona or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Badalona ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badalona / FT Badalona✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Badalona – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ Mollerussa
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cornellà
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vilassar Mar – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs Montañesa
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Cerdanyola del Vallès
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Peralada
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badalona and Vilassar Mar.
What is the prediction for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Our pick is Badalona to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
On our numbers Badalona have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vilassar Mar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Our predicted score is Badalona 1–0 Vilassar Mar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Badalona vs Vilassar Mar (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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