Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLagun Onak to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceLagun Onak or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Lagun Onak vs Durango preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 4 sees Lagun Onak take on Durango on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Garmendipe. Lagun Onak are 13th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Durango sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lagun Onak's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Zamudio 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Durango's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Portugalete 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lagun Onak arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Lagun Onak and 0.6 for Durango. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 41%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lagun Onak 65%, draw 20%, Durango 15%.
Safer route: Lagun Onak or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lagun Onak to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lagun Onak 1–0 Durango. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lagun Onak65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.25
Durango15%fair 6.79 · @4.00
2.35Expected goals
1.72Lagun Onak xG
0.63Durango xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lagun Onak 1.7 – 0.6 Durango expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lagun Onak to win✗
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Lagun Onak or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Lagun Onak ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lagun Onak / FT Lagun Onak✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
Lagun Onak – last 3
WWL
1 Apr
vs Zamudio
5–0
W
22 Mar
vs Real Sociedad III
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Portugalete
0–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Durango – last 4
LLLW
1 Apr
@ Portugalete
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Derio
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Leioa
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Eibar III
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lagun Onak and Durango.
Our pick is Lagun Onak to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Durango?
On our numbers Lagun Onak have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Durango 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lagun Onak vs Durango?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lagun Onak vs Durango?
Our predicted score is Lagun Onak 1–0 Durango, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lagun Onak vs Durango?
Lagun Onak vs Durango (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Garmendipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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