Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Ignacio to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
San Ignacio vs Leioa preview and prediction
The match
San Ignacio host Leioa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos. San Ignacio are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Leioa sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table).
Form guide
San Ignacio's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Añorga 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for San Ignacio and 1.1 for Leioa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Ignacio 38%, draw 24%, Leioa 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Ignacio38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Leioa37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
2.15Expected goals
1.08San Ignacio xG
1.06Leioa xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Ignacio 1.1 – 1.1 Leioa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Ignacio to win✗
38%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
San Ignacio – last 4
WLDL
2 Apr
vs Añorga
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Aretxabaleta
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Pasaia KE
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leioa – last 2
LW
1 Apr
@ Touring
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Durango
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Ignacio and Leioa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win San Ignacio vs Leioa?
On our numbers San Ignacio have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leioa 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Ignacio vs Leioa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Ignacio vs Leioa?
Our predicted score is San Ignacio 1–1 Leioa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Ignacio vs Leioa?
San Ignacio vs Leioa (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de fútbol Los Astrónomos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
