Value bet: Aurrerá Vitoria to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamudio to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 4 sees Zamudio take on Aurrerá Vitoria on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Estadio Udal Kiroldegia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Zamudio and 1.1 for Aurrerá Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Aurrerá Vitoria to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Zamudio 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamudio42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Aurrerá Vitoria34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.41Expected goals
1.29Zamudio xG
1.12Aurrerá Vitoria xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Zamudio 1.3 – 1.1 Aurrerá Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamudio to win✓
42%
2.39
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamudio / FT Zamudio✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.66
–
Form
Zamudio
No recent results on record.
Aurrerá Vitoria
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamudio and Aurrerá Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
On our numbers Zamudio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurrerá Vitoria 34%.
How many goals will there be in Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Zamudio 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Zamudio vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Udal Kiroldegia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
