Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gijón Industrial to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGijón Industrial to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceGijón Industrial or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Gijón Industrial take on Tuilla on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Form guide
Gijón Industrial's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Praviano 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tuilla's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Sporting Gijón II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Gijón Industrial and 0.7 for Tuilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.
Safer route: Gijón Industrial or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Gijón Industrial to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gijón Industrial or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gijón Industrial 1–0 Tuilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gijón Industrial64%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Tuilla14%fair 6.95 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.81Gijón Industrial xG
0.70Tuilla xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.8 – 0.7 Tuilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gijón Industrial to win✗
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Gijón Industrial or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Gijón Industrial ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gijón Industrial / FT Gijón Industrial✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Gijón Industrial – last 4
DWLL
22 Mar
vs Praviano
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs San Martín
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Llanera
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tuilla – last 5
WLLWL
22 Mar
vs Sporting Gijón II
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Praviano
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs L'Entregu
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lenense
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ San Martín
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Tuilla.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla?
Our pick is Gijón Industrial or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tuilla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–0 Tuilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla?
Gijón Industrial vs Tuilla (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
