Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCovadonga to win ✗72% · @1.08
Double chanceCovadonga or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Covadonga vs Lenense preview and prediction
The match
Lenense travel to Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 15 February (17:00 WAT) to face Covadonga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Covadonga and 0.6 for Lenense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Covadonga 2–0 Lenense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Covadonga72%fair 1.40 · @1.08
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @6.40
Lenense10%fair 10.50 · @23.00
2.71Expected goals
2.09Covadonga xG
0.62Lenense xG
42%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Covadonga 2.1 – 0.6 Lenense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Covadonga to win✗
72%
1.40
1.08
Double chance
Covadonga or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Half-time result
Covadonga ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Covadonga / FT Covadonga✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Covadonga
No recent results on record.
Lenense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Covadonga and Lenense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Covadonga vs Lenense?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lenense 10%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Lenense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Lenense?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 2–0 Lenense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Lenense?
Covadonga vs Lenense (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tuilla0
Llanera3