Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Arosa vs Somozas preview and prediction
The match
Arosa host Somozas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio A Lomba.
Form guide
Arosa's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Coruña 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Somozas's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Atlético Arteixo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Arosa and 0.8 for Somozas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arosa 58%, draw 24%, Somozas 18%.
Safer route: Arosa or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arosa to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Arosa 1–0 Somozas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arosa58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Somozas18%fair 5.62 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.65Arosa xG
0.79Somozas xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.6 – 0.8 Somozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Arosa or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.92
–
Form
Arosa – last 4
WWDW
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Somozas – last 4
LWDD
22 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Polvorín
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Somozas.
Our pick is Arosa to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Arosa vs Somozas?
On our numbers Arosa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Somozas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Somozas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Somozas?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–0 Somozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Somozas?
Arosa vs Somozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio A Lomba.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbadás1