Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Villalbés to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillalbés to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceVillalbés or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Villalbés vs Estradense preview and prediction
The match
Estradense travel to Estadio Municipal A Magdalena in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Thursday 19 March (12:00 WAT) to face Villalbés. Villalbés are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Estradense sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estradense's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Barbadás 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Villalbés and 0.7 for Estradense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Villalbés to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villalbés or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Villalbés 1–0 Estradense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villalbés56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Estradense21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
2.17Expected goals
1.44Villalbés xG
0.73Estradense xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Villalbés 1.4 – 0.7 Estradense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villalbés to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Villalbés or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villalbés / FT Villalbés✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Villalbés
No recent results on record.
Estradense – last 4
WDLL
15 Mar
vs Barbadás
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Alondras
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Celtiga
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villalbés and Estradense.
What is the prediction for Villalbés vs Estradense?
Our pick is Villalbés or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Villalbés vs Estradense?
On our numbers Villalbés have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estradense 21%.
How many goals will there be in Villalbés vs Estradense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villalbés vs Estradense?
Our predicted score is Villalbés 1–0 Estradense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villalbés vs Estradense?
Villalbés vs Estradense (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal A Magdalena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Polvorín1
Barbadás0
Compostela1