Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen preview and prediction
The match
Celaya host Inter Playa del Carmen in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Celaya and 1.0 for Inter Playa del Carmen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celaya 61%, draw 20%, Inter Playa del Carmen 19%.
Safer route: Celaya or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Celaya 2–0 Inter Playa del Carmen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celaya61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Inter Playa del Carmen19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
2.94Expected goals
1.97Celaya xG
0.97Inter Playa del Carmen xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celaya 2.0 – 1.0 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Celaya – last 2
WL
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 1
W
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Celaya have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Inter Playa del Carmen 19%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Celaya 2–0 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tapachula2
Pioneros de Cancún1