Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontañeses to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Tapachula vs Montañeses preview and prediction
The match
Tapachula host Montañeses in the Liga Premier Serie A on Tuesday 10 March, with kick-off at 03:05 (WAT) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula.
Form guide
Montañeses's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Deportiva Venados 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Tapachula and 1.6 for Montañeses. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tapachula 1–1 Montañeses. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapachula34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Montañeses45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
2.97Expected goals
1.36Tapachula xG
1.61Montañeses xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.4 – 1.6 Montañeses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañeses to win✗
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañeses / FT Montañeses✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Tapachula
No recent results on record.
Montañeses – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Deportiva Venados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Neza
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Mexicali FC
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Montañeses.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tapachula vs Montañeses?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Montañeses 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Montañeses?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 1–1 Montañeses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Tapachula vs Montañeses (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 03:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.