Value bet: Pioneros de Cancún to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPioneros de Cancún to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún preview and prediction
The match
Cañoneros Marina host Pioneros de Cancún in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio León Anáhuac Xalapa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Cañoneros Marina and 1.9 for Pioneros de Cancún. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Pioneros de Cancún to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cañoneros Marina 1–1 Pioneros de Cancún. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cañoneros Marina21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.20
Pioneros de Cancún59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.82Expected goals
0.97Cañoneros Marina xG
1.85Pioneros de Cancún xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Cañoneros Marina 1.0 – 1.9 Pioneros de Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pioneros de Cancún to win✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Pioneros de Cancún ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pioneros de Cancún / FT Pioneros de Cancún✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Cañoneros Marina – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pioneros de Cancún
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cañoneros Marina and Pioneros de Cancún.
What is the prediction for Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún?
On our numbers Cañoneros Marina have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pioneros de Cancún 59%.
How many goals will there be in Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Our predicted score is Cañoneros Marina 1–1 Pioneros de Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún?
Cañoneros Marina vs Pioneros de Cancún (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio León Anáhuac Xalapa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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