Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelaya to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Celaya vs Tapachula preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Premier Serie A sees Celaya take on Tapachula on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Celaya and 1.0 for Tapachula. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celaya 66%, draw 18%, Tapachula 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celaya to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Celaya 2–0 Tapachula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celaya66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.40
Tapachula15%fair 6.55 · @6.50
3.27Expected goals
2.27Celaya xG
0.99Tapachula xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celaya 2.3 – 1.0 Tapachula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.55
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Celaya
No recent results on record.
Tapachula
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Tapachula.
Our pick is Celaya to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Celaya vs Tapachula?
On our numbers Celaya have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tapachula 15%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Tapachula?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Tapachula?
Our predicted score is Celaya 2–0 Tapachula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Tapachula?
Celaya vs Tapachula (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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