Safer route: Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2–0 Lobos ULMX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gavilanes FC Matamoros58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Lobos ULMX19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.50Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG
0.70Lobos ULMX xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.5 – 0.7 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavilanes FC Matamoros / FT Gavilanes FC Matamoros✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.99
–
Form
Gavilanes FC Matamoros – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Correcaminos UAT II
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lobos ULMX – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavilanes FC Matamoros and Lobos ULMX.
What is the prediction for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
On our numbers Gavilanes FC Matamoros have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lobos ULMX 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Our predicted score is Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2–0 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Hogar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
