Value bet: Cordobés to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCordobés to win45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.38
Chilpancingo vs Cordobés preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Premier Serie A sees Chilpancingo take on Cordobés on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Cancha Vicente Guerrero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Chilpancingo and 1.4 for Cordobés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Cordobés to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chilpancingo 1–1 Cordobés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chilpancingo33%fair 3.01 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Cordobés45%fair 2.23 · @2.40
2.55Expected goals
1.15Chilpancingo xG
1.40Cordobés xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chilpancingo 1.2 – 1.4 Cordobés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cordobés to win
45%
2.23
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cordobés / FT Cordobés
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.38
–
Form
Chilpancingo
No recent results on record.
Cordobés
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chilpancingo and Cordobés.
What is the prediction for Chilpancingo vs Cordobés?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chilpancingo vs Cordobés?
On our numbers Chilpancingo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cordobés 45%.
How many goals will there be in Chilpancingo vs Cordobés?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chilpancingo vs Cordobés?
Our predicted score is Chilpancingo 1–1 Cordobés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chilpancingo vs Cordobés?
Chilpancingo vs Cordobés (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha Vicente Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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