Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Zitacuaro to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultZitacuaro to win60% · @1.91
Double chanceZitacuaro or draw80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.25
Ciervos vs Zitacuaro preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Premier Serie A sees Ciervos take on Zitacuaro on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Arreola.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Ciervos and 1.7 for Zitacuaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Zitacuaro to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zitacuaro or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ciervos 0–1 Zitacuaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciervos20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
Zitacuaro60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.82Ciervos xG
1.68Zitacuaro xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ciervos 0.8 – 1.7 Zitacuaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zitacuaro to win
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Zitacuaro or draw
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zitacuaro / FT Zitacuaro
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.25
–
Form
Ciervos
No recent results on record.
Zitacuaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Zitacuaro.
Our pick is Zitacuaro or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
On our numbers Ciervos have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zitacuaro 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
Our predicted score is Ciervos 0–1 Zitacuaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ciervos vs Zitacuaro?
Ciervos vs Zitacuaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arreola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Zap1
Tecos
Chilpancingo
Lobos ULMX
Zacatepec 1948
Cordobés