Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMessina to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Vigor Lamezia vs Messina preview and prediction
The match
Messina travel to Stadio Guido D'Ippolito in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face Vigor Lamezia.
Form guide
Vigor Lamezia's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Milazzo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Messina's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Savoia 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Vigor Lamezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Vigor Lamezia and 1.1 for Messina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Messina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vigor Lamezia37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Messina39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
2.22Expected goals
1.09Vigor Lamezia xG
1.13Messina xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.1 – 1.1 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Messina to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Messina / FT Messina✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Vigor Lamezia – last 6
DLDLWL
15 Apr
@ Milazzo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Vibonese
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Ragusa
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CastrumFavara
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Reggina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nissa
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Messina – last 6
LLDLDL
2 Apr
@ Savoia
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and Messina.
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Messina 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Vigor Lamezia vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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