Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Sambiase to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIgea Virtus to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Sambiase vs Igea Virtus preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Sambiase take on Igea Virtus on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito. Sambiase are 2nd with 26 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Igea Virtus sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Sambiase and 1.2 for Igea Virtus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Sambiase to win at 3.50 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Sambiase 1–1 Igea Virtus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sambiase31%fair 3.25 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Igea Virtus46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
2.19Expected goals
0.95Sambiase xG
1.24Igea Virtus xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sambiase 0.9 – 1.2 Igea Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Igea Virtus to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Sambiase
No recent results on record.
Igea Virtus
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Igea Virtus.
What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Igea Virtus 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–1 Igea Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Igea Virtus?
Sambiase vs Igea Virtus (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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