Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.25
Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
Recanatese host Atletico Ascoli in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Nicola Tubaldi. Recanatese are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Ascoli sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Recanatese and 1.6 for Atletico Ascoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Ascoli to win – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Recanatese 0–1 Atletico Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recanatese28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Atletico Ascoli51%fair 1.96 · @2.10
2.69Expected goals
1.10Recanatese xG
1.60Atletico Ascoli xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.1 – 1.6 Atletico Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✗
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Recanatese – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Ostia Mare
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atletico Ascoli – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Castelfidardo Calcio
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Atletico Ascoli.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Ascoli 51%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 0–1 Atletico Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli?
Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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