Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Progresso to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.72 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.72Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultProgresso to win ✓66% · @1.72
Double chanceProgresso or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola preview and prediction
The match
Progresso host Sasso Marconi Zola in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Form guide
Progresso's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Sant'Angelo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sasso Marconi Zola's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Imolese 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Progresso and 0.6 for Sasso Marconi Zola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Progresso to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Progresso 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progresso66%fair 1.51 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Sasso Marconi Zola13%fair 7.79 · @4.30
2.39Expected goals
1.78Progresso xG
0.61Sasso Marconi Zola xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.8 – 0.6 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progresso to win✓
66%
1.51
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Progresso or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.24
Half-time result
Progresso ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progresso / FT Progresso✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.14
–
Form
Progresso – last 6
DWWLLD
26 Apr
@ Sant'Angelo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Lentigione
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Tuttocuoio
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Piacenza
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Sangiuliano City
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6
DWLLWD
26 Apr
vs Imolese
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Rovato Vertovese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Lentigione
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Tuttocuoio
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Coriano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Sasso Marconi Zola.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our pick is Progresso to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
On our numbers Progresso have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sasso Marconi Zola 13%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our predicted score is Progresso 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Progresso vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese1
Rovato Vertovese0