Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.18
Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena preview and prediction
The match
Cittadella Vis Modena travel to Stadio Tre Stelle in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Desenzano Calvina.
Form guide
Desenzano Calvina's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Pro Sesto 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Cittadella Vis Modena's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Crema 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Desenzano Calvina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.7 for Cittadella Vis Modena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Cittadella Vis Modena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Desenzano Calvina60%fair 1.66 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Cittadella Vis Modena15%fair 6.49 · @4.74
2.31Expected goals
1.63Desenzano Calvina xG
0.68Cittadella Vis Modena xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.6 – 0.7 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✓
60%
1.66
1.68
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.18
–
Form
Desenzano Calvina – last 3
WDW
15 Mar
@ Pro Sesto
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Crema
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cittadella Vis Modena – last 3
DDW
15 Mar
@ Crema
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Trevigliese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pro Sesto
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Cittadella Vis Modena.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cittadella Vis Modena 15%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Cittadella Vis Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Stelle.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pro Palazzolo2
Rovato Vertovese1
Piacenza3
Progresso0
Sangiuliano City1