Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✗66% · @1.43
Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema preview and prediction
The match
Crema travel to Stadio Tre Stelle in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT) to face Desenzano Calvina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.7 for Crema. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Desenzano Calvina to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Crema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Desenzano Calvina66%fair 1.52 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.10
Crema13%fair 7.95 · @6.78
2.60Expected goals
1.91Desenzano Calvina xG
0.69Crema xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.9 – 0.7 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✗
66%
1.52
1.43
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Desenzano Calvina ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.07
–
Form
Desenzano Calvina – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Crema – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Crema.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Our pick is Desenzano Calvina to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crema 13%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Crema?
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Stelle.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Piacenza4
Tuttocuoio0
Rovato Vertovese0
Sasso Marconi Zola0
Imolese0
Trevigliese1
Pro Palazzolo1
Sangiuliano City1