Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRovato Vertovese to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Progresso take on Rovato Vertovese on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Progresso and 1.2 for Rovato Vertovese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Rovato Vertovese to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Progresso 1–1 Rovato Vertovese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progresso34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Rovato Vertovese42%fair 2.36 · @2.70
2.27Expected goals
1.05Progresso xG
1.22Rovato Vertovese xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.1 – 1.2 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rovato Vertovese to win✗
42%
2.36
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Progresso
No recent results on record.
Rovato Vertovese – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Rovato Vertovese.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Progresso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rovato Vertovese 42%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our predicted score is Progresso 1–1 Rovato Vertovese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese?
Progresso vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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