Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Clodiense to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClodiense to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Este vs Clodiense preview and prediction
The match
Clodiense travel to Nuovo Stadio Comunale in the Serie D Girone C on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT) to face Este. Este are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Clodiense sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Este's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Calvi Noale 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Clodiense's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Conegliano 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Este and 1.2 for Clodiense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Este 32%, draw 23%, Clodiense 46%.
Value angle: Clodiense to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Este 0–1 Clodiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Este32%fair 3.16 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Clodiense46%fair 2.18 · @2.40
2.15Expected goals
0.94Este xG
1.22Clodiense xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Este 0.9 – 1.2 Clodiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Clodiense to win✗
46%
2.18
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Clodiense / FT Clodiense✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.07
–
Form
Este – last 6
LLLWWD
3 Apr
vs Calvi Noale
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Brian Lignano
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Bassano Virtus
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Campodarsego
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Portogruaro
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cjarlins Muzane
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Clodiense – last 5
LWWLL
2 Apr
@ Conegliano
2–3
L
22 Mar
@ FC Obermais
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs San Luigi
4–1
W
2 Mar
@ Treviso
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Legnago Salus
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Este and Clodiense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Este vs Clodiense?
On our numbers Este have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Clodiense 46%.
How many goals will there be in Este vs Clodiense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Este vs Clodiense?
Our predicted score is Este 0–1 Clodiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Este vs Clodiense?
Este vs Clodiense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
