Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuparense to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceLuparense or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Luparense vs Brian Lignano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone C sees Luparense take on Brian Lignano on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée. Luparense are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Brian Lignano sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Luparense and 0.7 for Brian Lignano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Luparense 63%, draw 21%, Brian Lignano 16%.
Safer route: Luparense or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Luparense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Luparense 1–0 Brian Lignano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luparense63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.20
Brian Lignano16%fair 6.15 · @3.60
2.43Expected goals
1.72Luparense xG
0.71Brian Lignano xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Luparense 1.7 – 0.7 Brian Lignano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luparense to win✗
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Luparense or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Luparense ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luparense / FT Luparense✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Luparense
No recent results on record.
Brian Lignano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luparense and Brian Lignano.
What is the prediction for Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Our pick is Luparense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
On our numbers Luparense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brian Lignano 16%.
How many goals will there be in Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Our predicted score is Luparense 1–0 Brian Lignano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Luparense vs Brian Lignano?
Luparense vs Brian Lignano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.