USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza preview and prediction
The match
Leon Monza e Brianza travel to Campo Sportivo Comunale in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT) to face USD Casatese.
Form guide
USD Casatese's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Pavia 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leon Monza e Brianza's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Chievo 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Leon Monza e Brianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for USD Casatese and 1.0 for Leon Monza e Brianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: USD Casatese 47%, draw 22%, Leon Monza e Brianza 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: USD Casatese 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USD Casatese47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Leon Monza e Brianza31%fair 3.18 · @3.35
2.38Expected goals
1.35USD Casatese xG
1.03Leon Monza e Brianza xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.3 – 1.0 Leon Monza e Brianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USD Casatese to win✓
47%
2.14
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.04
–
Form
USD Casatese – last 6
WWWLLD
19 Apr
vs Pavia
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Villa Valle
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Varesina
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Sondrio
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Brusaporto
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leon Monza e Brianza – last 6
DDWWWW
26 Apr
vs Chievo
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Pavia
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Varesina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Vogherese
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Leon Monza e Brianza.
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon Monza e Brianza 31%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–1 Leon Monza e Brianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
USD Casatese vs Leon Monza e Brianza (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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