Value bet: Scanzorosciate to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultScanzorosciate to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Castellanzese take on Scanzorosciate on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi.
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Pavia 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Scanzorosciate's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Oltrepò 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Scanzorosciate arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Castellanzese and 1.2 for Scanzorosciate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Scanzorosciate to win at 2.70 – 39% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–1 Scanzorosciate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellanzese36%fair 2.75 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Scanzorosciate39%fair 2.53 · @2.70
2.35Expected goals
1.14Castellanzese xG
1.20Scanzorosciate xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.1 – 1.2 Scanzorosciate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scanzorosciate to win✓
39%
2.53
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scanzorosciate / FT Scanzorosciate✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Castellanzese – last 5
LDWLW
22 Mar
@ Pavia
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Varesina
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Vogherese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Scanzorosciate – last 5
WWWDW
22 Mar
vs Oltrepò
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Vogherese
6–1
W
1 Mar
vs Breno
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Varesina
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Caldiero Terme
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Scanzorosciate.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Scanzorosciate 39%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Scanzorosciate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate?
Castellanzese vs Scanzorosciate (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oltrepò2
Breno0
USD Casatese1