The Serie D Girone B sees Varesina take on Castellanzese on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Campo Comunale.
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Vogherese 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Varesina and 1.1 for Castellanzese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Varesina 1–1 Castellanzese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varesina41%fair 2.44 · @2.31
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.15
Castellanzese35%fair 2.86 · @2.76
2.42Expected goals
1.27Varesina xG
1.15Castellanzese xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Varesina 1.3 – 1.1 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varesina to win✗
41%
2.44
2.31
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varesina / FT Varesina✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.10
–
Form
Varesina – last 2
DD
1 Mar
@ Pavia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Vogherese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varesina and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Varesina vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Varesina have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellanzese 35%.
How many goals will there be in Varesina vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Varesina 1–1 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Varesina vs Castellanzese?
Varesina vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
