Value bet: Castellanzese to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusaporto to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.47
Brusaporto vs Castellanzese preview and prediction
The match
Castellanzese travel to Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT) to face Brusaporto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Brusaporto and 1.1 for Castellanzese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Castellanzese to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Brusaporto 1–1 Castellanzese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brusaporto42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Castellanzese35%fair 2.87 · @3.30
2.37Expected goals
1.26Brusaporto xG
1.11Castellanzese xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Brusaporto 1.3 – 1.1 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusaporto to win✓
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusaporto / FT Brusaporto✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.47
–
Form
Brusaporto – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Pavia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Villa Valle
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusaporto and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellanzese 35%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Brusaporto 1–1 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Brusaporto vs Castellanzese?
Brusaporto vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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