Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLigorna to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Ligorna vs Biellese preview and prediction
The match
Ligorna host Biellese in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna. Ligorna are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Biellese sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Cairese 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Biellese's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Club Milano 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Biellese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Ligorna and 0.6 for Biellese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ligorna 63%, draw 24%, Biellese 13%.
Safer route: Ligorna or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ligorna to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Biellese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Biellese13%fair 7.43 · @4.33
2.34Expected goals
1.70Ligorna xG
0.64Biellese xG
40%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.7 – 0.6 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Ligorna – last 6
DLWDLW
2 Apr
vs Cairese
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Valenzana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Lavagnese
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Biellese – last 6
DWWWWL
2 Apr
@ Club Milano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Imperia
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Celle Varazze
6–1
W
1 Mar
@ Derthona
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Asti
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sanremese
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Biellese.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ligorna vs Biellese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Biellese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Biellese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Biellese?
Ligorna vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vado2
Cairese0
Club Milano6
NovaRomentin1
Lavagnese0