Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLavagnese to win ✗40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Lavagnese vs Derthona preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Lavagnese take on Derthona on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Edoardo Riboli.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Lavagnese and 1.1 for Derthona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Lavagnese 1–1 Derthona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lavagnese40%fair 2.50 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Derthona35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
2.36Expected goals
1.23Lavagnese xG
1.13Derthona xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lavagnese 1.2 – 1.1 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lavagnese to win✗
40%
2.50
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lavagnese / FT Lavagnese✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Lavagnese – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Derthona – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Chisola
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lavagnese and Derthona.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lavagnese vs Derthona?
On our numbers Lavagnese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Derthona 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lavagnese vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lavagnese vs Derthona?
Our predicted score is Lavagnese 1–1 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lavagnese vs Derthona?
Lavagnese vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Edoardo Riboli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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