Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Saluzzo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaluzzo to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceSaluzzo or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Saluzzo vs Lavagnese preview and prediction
The match
Saluzzo host Lavagnese in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Amedeo Damiano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Saluzzo and 0.8 for Lavagnese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Saluzzo to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saluzzo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saluzzo 1–0 Lavagnese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saluzzo61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Lavagnese14%fair 7.03 · @3.45
2.65Expected goals
1.86Saluzzo xG
0.79Lavagnese xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Saluzzo 1.9 – 0.8 Lavagnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saluzzo to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Saluzzo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Saluzzo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saluzzo / FT Saluzzo✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.62
–
Form
Saluzzo
No recent results on record.
Lavagnese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saluzzo and Lavagnese.
Our pick is Saluzzo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Saluzzo vs Lavagnese?
On our numbers Saluzzo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lavagnese 14%.
How many goals will there be in Saluzzo vs Lavagnese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saluzzo vs Lavagnese?
Our predicted score is Saluzzo 1–0 Lavagnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Saluzzo vs Lavagnese?
Saluzzo vs Lavagnese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Amedeo Damiano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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