Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Atlético Baleares to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcoyano to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares preview and prediction
The match
Alcoyano host Atlético Baleares in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Collao. Alcoyano are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Atlético Baleares sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Alcoyano and 1.1 for Atlético Baleares. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcoyano 38%, draw 26%, Atlético Baleares 36%.
Value angle: Atlético Baleares to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Atlético Baleares36%fair 2.78 · @3.10
2.18Expected goals
1.11Alcoyano xG
1.07Atlético Baleares xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.1 – 1.1 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
38%
2.64
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Alcoyano
No recent results on record.
Atlético Baleares
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Atlético Baleares.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlético Baleares 36%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares?
Alcoyano vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbastro0
Reddis0
Porreres1
Girona II2
Sant Andreu3
Andratx0
Torrent1
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1
Olot0
Espanyol II0
Terrassa0
Atlètic Lleida0