Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Marek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarek to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceMarek or draw ✓88% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Marek take on Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Bonchuk. Marek are 13th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Marek's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Dunav Ruse 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Hebar 1918 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Marek and 0.6 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marek 65%, draw 23%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 12%.
Safer route: Marek or draw (88%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.71.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marek to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marek 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marek65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.28
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas12%fair 8.10 · @3.96
2.21Expected goals
1.66Marek xG
0.55Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Marek 1.7 – 0.6 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Marek or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Marek – last 6
DWWDLD
17 Apr
@ Dunav Ruse
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Vihren
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Spartak Pleven
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Yantra 2019
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Fratria
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
WDWDWD
27 Apr
@ Hebar 1918
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Marek to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Marek have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dunav Ruse2