Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHebar 1918 to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas travel to Stadion Georgi Benkovski in the Second League on Monday 27 April (16:30 WAT) to face Hebar 1918. Hebar 1918 are 6th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hebar 1918's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia II 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Ludogorets II 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Hebar 1918 and 1.2 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Hebar 1918 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hebar 191842%fair 2.38 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.51Expected goals
1.34Hebar 1918 xG
1.17Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hebar 1918 1.3 – 1.2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win✗
42%
2.38
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Hebar 1918 – last 5
LDWWW
22 Apr
@ CSKA Sofia II
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Belasitsa
4–3
W
21 Feb
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Yantra 2019
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
DWDWDD
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs FK Minyor Pernik
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Hebar 1918 have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Hebar 1918 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.