Value bet: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportist Svoge to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Sportist Svoge take on Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov. Sportist Svoge are 16th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sportist Svoge's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Sevlievo 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sportist Svoge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Sportist Svoge and 1.1 for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sportist Svoge 1–1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportist Svoge44%fair 2.29 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa33%fair 3.07 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.33Sportist Svoge xG
1.10Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sportist Svoge 1.3 – 1.1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportist Svoge to win✗
44%
2.29
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportist Svoge / FT Sportist Svoge✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Sportist Svoge – last 3
WLD
25 Mar
@ Sevlievo
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Fratria
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Ludogorets II
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – last 3
DLD
28 Feb
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Belasitsa
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportist Svoge and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
What is the prediction for Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
On our numbers Sportist Svoge have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Our predicted score is Sportist Svoge 1–1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dunav Ruse1
Belasitsa0