Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Botev Vratsa host Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Hristo Botev Stadium. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to CSKA 1948 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Beroe 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Lokomotiv Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Botev Vratsa and 1.3 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botev Vratsa 35%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa35%fair 2.85 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Lokomotiv Sofia44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
2.33Expected goals
1.07Botev Vratsa xG
1.25Lokomotiv Sofia xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.1 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LDLLDD
10 Apr
@ CSKA 1948
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Beroe
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
WLWDLW
9 Apr
vs Beroe
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha0