Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Botev Plovdiv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Plovdiv to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Botev Plovdiv take on Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadion Hristo Botev. Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botev Plovdiv's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Slavia Sofia 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Botev Plovdiv to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botev Plovdiv or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Plovdiv59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv17%fair 5.90 · @3.80
2.31Expected goals
1.60Botev Plovdiv xG
0.71Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.6 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Botev Plovdiv or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Form
Botev Plovdiv – last 6
WDWDWL
20 Mar
@ Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ CSKA 1948
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Montana
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Ludogorets
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
WWWLLD
3 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
0–5
L
2 Mar
@ Ludogorets
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 17%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana0