Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia travel to Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov in the First League on Friday 10 April (16:00 WAT) to face Slavia Sofia. Slavia Sofia are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Septemvri Sofia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Slavia Sofia's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Cherno More Varna 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Botev Vratsa 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Slavia Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Slavia Sofia and 0.8 for Septemvri Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slavia Sofia 61%, draw 23%, Septemvri Sofia 16%.
Safer route: Slavia Sofia or draw (84%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Sofia61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Septemvri Sofia16%fair 6.37 · @4.50
2.59Expected goals
1.80Slavia Sofia xG
0.79Septemvri Sofia xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.8 – 0.8 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Sofia to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Slavia Sofia or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Slavia Sofia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Slavia Sofia – last 6
WLDWWL
5 Apr
@ Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs CSKA 1948
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
DLLLLW
6 Apr
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–4
L
17 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slavia Sofia and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Septemvri Sofia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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