Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Botev Vratsa to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa preview and prediction
The match
Botev Vratsa travel to Stadion Dragalevtsi in the First League on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT) to face Septemvri Sofia. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Botev Vratsa sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Botev Vratsa's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.4 for Botev Vratsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 28%, draw 22%, Botev Vratsa 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Botev Vratsa to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia28%fair 3.51 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Botev Vratsa49%fair 2.03 · @2.30
2.29Expected goals
0.93Septemvri Sofia xG
1.35Botev Vratsa xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.9 – 1.4 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
49%
2.03
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 5
LLLLW
21 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–4
L
17 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Botev Vratsa – last 5
LLDDD
22 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Beroe
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Botev Vratsa.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Vratsa 49%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
