Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.40
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Ludogorets take on CSKA Sofia on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Huvepharma Arena. Ludogorets are 3rd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while CSKA Sofia sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Montana 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CSKA Sofia's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Ludogorets and 0.7 for CSKA Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ludogorets 60%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 14%.
Safer route: Ludogorets or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ludogorets to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ludogorets 1–0 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
CSKA Sofia14%fair 7.16 · @4.40
2.38Expected goals
1.69Ludogorets xG
0.69CSKA Sofia xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.7 – 0.7 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.40
–
Form
Ludogorets – last 6
WWDLLW
9 Mar
@ Montana
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CSKA Sofia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
