Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Arda Kardzhali to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Cherno More Varna take on Arda Kardzhali on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ticha. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Cherno More Varna and 1.1 for Arda Kardzhali. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Arda Kardzhali to win at 3.45 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.95
Arda Kardzhali32%fair 3.10 · @3.45
2.20Expected goals
1.15Cherno More Varna xG
1.05Arda Kardzhali xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.1 – 1.1 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.88
–
Form
Cherno More Varna – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 2
WD
27 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Arda Kardzhali 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
