Ludogorets host Levski Sofia in the First League on Thursday 5 March, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Huvepharma Arena. Ludogorets are 3rd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Levski Sofia sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Levski Sofia's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 4–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Levski Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Ludogorets and 1.2 for Levski Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ludogorets 40%, draw 28%, Levski Sofia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Levski Sofia33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.56Expected goals
1.35Ludogorets xG
1.22Levski Sofia xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.3 – 1.2 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✓
40%
2.52
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Ludogorets – last 5
DLLWW
2 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Levski Sofia – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Levski Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Levski Sofia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha1