Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Sofia to win67% · @1.30
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.52
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia host CSKA Sofia in the First League on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CSKA Sofia sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Septemvri Sofia and 2.0 for CSKA Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 13%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia13%fair 7.87 · @8.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
CSKA Sofia67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
2.70Expected goals
0.73Septemvri Sofia xG
1.97CSKA Sofia xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.7 – 2.0 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win
67%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.52
–
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 67%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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