Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets host Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League on Monday 2 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Huvepharma Arena. Ludogorets are 3rd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Ferencvarosi TC 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Ludogorets and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.40
Lokomotiv Plovdiv13%fair 7.71 · @7.00
2.56Expected goals
1.86Ludogorets xG
0.70Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Ludogorets – last 4
LLWW
26 Feb
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
