Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Levski Sofia take on Lokomotiv Sofia on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. Levski Sofia are 2nd with 32 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Levski Sofia and 0.6 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levski Sofia 72%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Sofia 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levski Sofia72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.60
Lokomotiv Sofia8%fair 11.86 · @8.40
2.70Expected goals
2.11Levski Sofia xG
0.59Lokomotiv Sofia xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 2.1 – 0.6 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Form
Levski Sofia – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lokomotiv Sofia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
