Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Lokomotiv Sofia take on Septemvri Sofia on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Septemvri Sofia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Septemvri Sofia's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Lokomotiv Sofia and 1.0 for Septemvri Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 59%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Sofia59%fair 1.70 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.65
Septemvri Sofia18%fair 5.70 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.68Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.01Septemvri Sofia xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 5
DLWLD
13 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 3
LLW
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Septemvri Sofia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
